“No V” – US Factory Orders Rebound Slows In June

“No V” – US Factory Orders Rebound Slows In June

Tyler Durden

Tue, 08/04/2020 – 10:06

US factory orders rebounded in May as the economy re-opened, but the bounce was anything but “v-shaped” after March and April’s collapse (-11% and -13.5% respectively). Analysts expected the pace of that lacklustre rebound to slow even more in June and it did (rising 6.2% MoM from a revised lower 7.7% rise in May) but it did beat expectations of a 5.0% MoM.

On a year-over-year basis, factory orders remain down over 10%

Source: Bloomberg

Factory orders ex-transports rose 4.4% MoM (accelerating from the +2.6% MoM in May)

Source: Bloomberg

And finally, one has to wonder what exactly the survey respondents in the ISM survey are seeing that sent manufacturing new orders to multi-year highs as the ‘hard’ data is so far off a “V’?

Source: Bloomberg