Social Capital’s Chamath Palihapitiya Turns To Twitter To Source Next Big Deal
Tyler Durden
Fri, 12/04/2020 – 06:32
When history looks back on the 2020 SPAC deal frenzy, Chamath Palihapitiya will likely be remembered as one of the most prominent evangelists of the ‘reverse IPO’ – for better, or worse.
Credit where credit is due, some of Palihapitiya’s deals appear to have worked out, and his investment firm, Social Capital, has seen the various publicly-traded deals it has sponsored – which debuted at the low, low price of just $10 a share – generate solid returns, with his acquisition of OpenDoor – an iBuyer/home-flipping company.
But his success opened the floodgates during a year where, thanks to unprecedented intervention by the Fed, cash is still cheap and – as Andrew Ross Sorkin pointed out a couple of months ago – some investors can simply go for the quick ‘arb’.
.@andrewrsorkin why do investors think that every SPAC is a winner?
— Jim Cramer (@jimcramer) October 1, 2020
I don’t understand it. But here is one thought: For many investors in a SPAC, pre-merger, it is simply an arbitrage, financial engineering play: they borrow money to invest and capture the spread when a deal gets announced.
— Andrew Ross Sorkin (@andrewrsorkin) October 1, 2020
Palihapitiya disputed this, arguing that in every deal he controls, he decides the allocations, and anybody in it for a quick buck simply doesn’t a piece.
I’d offer this:
1) It’s not so easy: not all deal announcements go well – several of these right now.
2) Sponsors decide initial spac allocations. I personally decide every allocation.
It’s important to construct initial owners who are skilled, long term investors. Arbs suck.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) October 1, 2020
That exchange took place back in September. But in recent weeks, as the financial press has been cranking out speculation about where the SPAC trend will go next – the census seems to be either Europe, or the grave (Forbes did a whole investigation on it) – and with Wall Street deal flow showing no signs of slowing down, Palihapitiya took to Twitter Thursday afternoon to solicit his next big target from the crowd.
To be sure, Palihapitiya frequently solicits ideas from his followers, or asks them to weigh in on. But his tweet elicited a flood of replies from FinTwit, as some seized the opportunity to joke about the implications of sourcing deals on twitter, while others got straight to the pitch.
Fintwit: I would like your help please.
I’m looking for any company, any sector with a market cap greater than $200M but less than $1.5B, good FCF and EBITDA and no debt that you think can predictably stay flat or grow modestly over the next 5-10 years.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) December 3, 2020
The company should be publicly listed, ideally on a US Exchange.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) December 3, 2020
Mr. Chamath, I am happy to take on this engagement over this medium, but I will be charging a full investment banking fee for my services as I have to keep the lights on at @litcapital and meet internal budget goals.
Best,
-B— Bart P. Fuchs IV (@ThisGuyFuchz) December 3, 2020
Definitely $RICK.
— Skeletor (@SkeleCap) December 4, 2020
When history looks back on the 2020 SPAC deal frenzy, Chamath Palihapitiya will likely be remembered as one of the most prominent evangelists of the ‘reverse IPO’ – for better, or worse.
Credit where credit is due, some of Palihapitiya’s deals appear to have worked out, and his investment firm, Social Capital, has seen the various publicly-traded deals it has sponsored – which debuted at the low, low price of just $10 a share – generate solid returns, with his acquisition of OpenDoor – an iBuyer/home-flipping company.
But his success opened the floodgates during a year where, thanks to unprecedented intervention by the Fed, cash is still cheap and – as Andrew Ross Sorkin pointed out a couple of months ago – some investors can simply go for the quick ‘arb’.
.@andrewrsorkin why do investors think that every SPAC is a winner?
— Jim Cramer (@jimcramer) October 1, 2020
I don’t understand it. But here is one thought: For many investors in a SPAC, pre-merger, it is simply an arbitrage, financial engineering play: they borrow money to invest and capture the spread when a deal gets announced.
— Andrew Ross Sorkin (@andrewrsorkin) October 1, 2020
Palihapitiya disputed this, arguing that in every deal he controls, he decides the allocations, and anybody in it for a quick buck simply doesn’t a piece.
I’d offer this:
1) It’s not so easy: not all deal announcements go well – several of these right now.
2) Sponsors decide initial spac allocations. I personally decide every allocation.
It’s important to construct initial owners who are skilled, long term investors. Arbs suck.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) October 1, 2020
That exchange took place back in September. But in recent weeks, as the financial press has been cranking out speculation about where the SPAC trend will go next – the census seems to be either Europe, or the grave (Forbes did a whole investigation on it) – and with Wall Street deal flow showing no signs of slowing down, Palihapitiya took to Twitter Thursday afternoon to solicit his next big target from the crowd.
To be sure, Palihapitiya frequently solicits ideas from his followers, or asks them to weigh in on. But his tweet elicited a flood of replies from FinTwit, as some seized the opportunity to joke about the implications of sourcing deals on twitter, while others got straight to the pitch.
Fintwit: I would like your help please.
I’m looking for any company, any sector with a market cap greater than $200M but less than $1.5B, good FCF and EBITDA and no debt that you think can predictably stay flat or grow modestly over the next 5-10 years.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) December 3, 2020
The company should be publicly listed, ideally on a US Exchange.
— Chamath Palihapitiya (@chamath) December 3, 2020
Mr. Chamath, I am happy to take on this engagement over this medium, but I will be charging a full investment banking fee for my services as I have to keep the lights on at @litcapital and meet internal budget goals.
Best,
-B— Bart P. Fuchs IV (@ThisGuyFuchz) December 3, 2020
Definitely $RICK.
— Skeletor (@SkeleCap) December 4, 2020
Haynes International, Inc.
NASDAQ: $HAYNOne of the world’s largest producers of corrosion and high-temp resistant alloys, specifically Nickel-Cobalt
0$ Debt
286.6m MC
~490m Revenue (2019)
Markets: Aerospace, Power Generation, Chemical Processing, Emerging Technologies. pic.twitter.com/YYaxKHiF4B
— loading… (@bruinalexander) December 4, 2020
$BWMX. Absolutely staggering near term covid growth and expected to continue post covid. Grew assoc network as much in Q3 as they did in 25yrs. 30% EBITDA margins (vs 15% for peers). >100% FCF conversion bc they have negative working cap requirements
— Vish (@VishG93) December 3, 2020
It’s a US listed Mexican company (the first). First reaction from most is to pass bc of the geo and they get accused of being a skeezy MLM. It’s not an MLM though – none of the associates get paid for recruiting others. They join bc they want discounts on the products BWMX sells
— Vish (@VishG93) December 3, 2020
$ERII (Energy Recovery)
617M MCAP, 109M LTM Rev, 26% YoY Rev growth, 31% EBITDA margin.
It’s products are utilized in the water and oil markets to either recycle and convert wasted pressure energy into a usable asset or preserve pumps that are subject to hostile environments.
— CRT (@investwithcolin) December 4, 2020
Don’t worry about that, get the PR engine revved up on MetroMile. WSB isn’t even talking about that yet. They should be frothing at the mouth. It’s an IPO, it’s a SPAC, it’s Tech, it’s “disruptive,” they will blow your IPO like snowflake but you have to yank the pull start.
— Not Stonks (@davellorens) December 3, 2020
$CBZ
9 months ending Sep 30, 2020:
Revenue – $752M
EBITDA – $126.9M
LT Debt/Equity – 0.15
TTM FCF – $2/sh
Price/FCF – 11Estimated revenue growth – single digits pic.twitter.com/7WVALLl5vB
— Srini Vasan (@bsvtwit) December 4, 2020
$RAVN (No position) Raven Industries – Sub $1B company, real earnings, $400M in yearly revenue, established company involved in Driver-less Agricultural Technology. Began taking pre-orders yesterday for Autonomous Ag Equipment.
— Matt America Darst (@mdarst) December 3, 2020
$GRPN. I know this sounds like a blast for the past for you silicon valley guy but check out the vest the CEO is wearing. That alone makes him the real deal!
— Little John Muppet (@MuppetTrading) December 3, 2020
I mean, just look at that vest! How impressive is that, right?
But kidding aside, check out $GRPN for real. Matches what you are looking for. You can start with their presentation at CSFB conference to get up to date:https://t.co/EptMzhVA7t pic.twitter.com/07STeQGaxY
— Little John Muppet (@MuppetTrading) December 3, 2020
Check out $GMGI They are a profitable Online Casino/sports betting Platform licenser that has a market cap of $140M And trades just over $7.00 a share with almost no debt and major growth! They just partnered up with the largest most prestigious gaming software company #Playtech pic.twitter.com/H6pXGPMcj0
— BenjaminFranklin (@BenzFranklin) December 4, 2020
The pitching frenzy went on all night, with Chamath’s initial tweets racking up more than 1,000 replies combined.
Readers can find all the replies here.